Sumários

Load Forecast

27 outubro 2023, 12:00 Hugo Gabriel Valente Morais

Load Forecast (Exercise 9)



Load Forecast

26 outubro 2023, 10:00 Hugo Gabriel Valente Morais

Load Forecast (Exercise 9)



Load Forecast

26 outubro 2023, 08:00 Hugo Gabriel Valente Morais

  • Forecasting methods
  • Patterns that describe a tlme series: trends,cycles, seasonal variations, irregular fluctuations.
  • Measuring forecast errors
  • Multiple Linear Regresssion

 

 

  • Multiple Linear Regression.
  • Statistics of beta coefficients.
  • Estimation of errors variance: Sum of square of the errors and number of degrees of freedom.
  • Sum of squares of regression
  • Sum of squares of dependent variable.

 

 

  • The coefficient of determination, R 2
  • The Fisher distribution test and the Stuent t distribution test
  • Interval of confidence for beta coefficients and dependent variable forecast.
  • Models for long term energy forecast and short term load forecast
  • Building a causal time series for forecasting the consumption of electric energy


Load Forecast + MAP4(CCGT and Hydro)

24 outubro 2023, 11:00 Hugo Gabriel Valente Morais

Load Forecast

MAP4(CCGT and Hydro)


Load Forecast + MAP4(CCGT and Hydro)

24 outubro 2023, 09:00 Hugo Gabriel Valente Morais

Load Forecast

MAP4(CCGT and Hydro)