General information
Lectures slides
Classes exercises
Labs information
Some complementary reading material
- Bana e Costa, C. A., Beinat, E. (2005) Model-structuring in public decision-aiding, Working paper LSEOR 05.79, London School of Economics and Political Science, London.
- Bana e Costa, C.A., De Corte, J.M., Vansnick, J.C. (2012). MACBETH. International Journal of Information Technology & Decision Making, 11(2), 359-387.
- Bana e Costa, C.A., Lourenço, J.C., Chagas, M.P., Bana e Costa, J.C. (2008). Development of reusable bid evaluation models for the Portuguese Electric Transmission Company. Decision Analysis, 5(1), 22-42.
- Bana e Costa, C.A., Lourenço, J.C., Oliveira, M.D., Bana e Costa, J.C. (2014). A socio-technical approach for group decision support in public strategic planning: The Pernambuco PPA case. Group Decision and Negotiation, 23(1), 5-29.
- Blalock, H.M., 1972. Social Statistics, 2nd ed. McGraw-Hill (Chapter 2)
- Beinat, E. (ed.) (1997). Final Report of the DTCS Project
- Boulkedid, R, Abdoul, H, Loustau, M, Sibony, O, Alberti, C (2011). Using and reporting the Delphi method for selecting healthcare quality indicators: a systematic review. PloS one, 6, e20476.
- Campbell, J. (2014). Art and the uncertainty of medicine. Jama, 312, 2337-2339.
- Franklin, B. (1772), Moral or Prudential Algebra.
- Hammond, J.S., Keeney, R.L., Raiffa, H. (1998). Even swaps: A rational method for making trade-offs. Harvard Business Review, 76(2), 137-150.
- Landeta J (2006). Current validity of the Delphi method in social sciences. Technological forecasting and social change, 73, 467-482.
- Linstone, HA, Turoff, M (2011). Delphi: A brief look backward and forward. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 78, 1712-1719.
- Lourenço, J.C., Morton, A., Bana e Costa, C.A. (2012). PROBE-A multicriteria decision support system for portfolio robustness evaluation. Decision Support Systems, 54(1), 534-550.
- Phillips, L.D. (2005). Decision Analysis in 2005. In A. Robinson, J. Parkin (eds.), OR47 Keynotes-Tutorials. Operational Research Society, Birmingham, 115-132.
- Srivastava, R(2011). Dealing with Uncertainty in a Time of Plenty. New England Journal of Medicine, 365, 2252-2253.
- Stevens, S. S. (1946) On the Theory of Scales of Measurement, Science, 103(2684), 677-680.
- Tversky, A., Kahneman, D. (1981). The framing of decisions and the psychology of choice, Science, 211 (4481), 453-458.
Evaluation