Sumários
Uncertainty and risk modelling
21 maio 2014, 14:30 • Mónica Oliveira
Modelling risk aversion. Multicriteria utility theory. Combining techniques in the practice of Decision Analysis. Tutorials with the Precisiontree and @risk software.
Uncertainty and risk modelling
14 maio 2014, 14:30 • Mónica Oliveira
Data-based probability models; risk analysis tools.
Uncertainty and risk modelling
7 maio 2014, 14:30 • Mónica Oliveira
Probability modelling; expert judgement.
Uncertainty and risk modelling
30 abril 2014, 14:30 • Mónica Oliveira
Uncertainty and risk analysis concepts; value of information and control; Bayesian networks.
Multicriteria resource allocation
23 abril 2014, 14:30 • João Lourenço
Efficient portfolios and dominated portfolios. Efficient frontier and convex efficient frontier. Approaches to identify efficient portfolios: prioritization (based on the benefit-to-cost ratio) and optimization (knapsack). The decision support system PROBE: algorithms and robustness analysis. How to define interactions between projects. Addressing the cost of not selecting projects. How to define the zero on the benefit value scale.